Grading CNBC’s Fast Money
by StockJockey
Wednesday, October 10, 2007 - 3:36 pm
Are you ready?
CNBC has juggled their schedule ahead of the launch of Fox Business Network.
Fast Money moves to 5 p.m. tonite, and might eventually have more programming changes in store. We miss On the Money, which was a nice respite from the serious genre of business news. Still, CNBC will keep their cards close to their vest in the war with Roger Ailes and FBN. Ailes frequently invoked Civil War related anecdotes in his interview with the Wall Street Journal, and the coming battle could be a modern, television version of Antietam or Shiloh. Except Roger is not taking any prisoners:
Ulysses S. Grant was a failure in business.....who was a drunk, but he was a hell of a horseman, and he could look at a battlefield, and he knew where he could position his men. And he won. And he refused to quit. Those were his talents, pretty simple....WSJ
Fast Money's move to 5 p.m.should shorten the workday for the contributors, who were putting in extra-long days prior. The move will come to late for Eric Bolling and Tim Strazzini. Two of the original panelists, and perhaps the best, are long gone. Bolling attributed part of the reason for his departure to his family responsiblities, and he had precious little time left for his family. Too, his dalliances with FBN might have played a role in his departure.
Losing the most popular member of the show had to hurt, but Fast Money is soldiering on. We have report cards for the crew, and a wish list in case anyone in Fort Lee cares to listen.
Pete Najarian- Warren Spector was an intimidating presence at Bear Stearns because of his intellect. Pete is intimidating because of his size. There must be pit traders in Chicago who are glad they no longer have to bang bodies against him all day long.
Pete’s easy going demeanor is a plus, and you can bet the pride of Western Springs, IL is in for the long haul. In fact, Pete recently uprooted his family from Chicagoland to the East Coast. He is all-in on this trade. I am happy to see Pete on his show, and certainly he brings a different skill set to the party. We would like to see him recommend and explain more complicated options trades, and hedging strategies. Flagging unusual options volume is fine, but there could be many reasons for the spikes and we tune it out for the most part.
Giddyup Pete, there is room to improve your grade. Good work, however.
Grade: B-minus
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Karen Finerman
The Chairwoman can hold her own against the men, although her makeover took away some of the rough edges. Finerman is the closest thing to what we want to be when we grow up, and lives a life we know well. She spends her day talking with company management teams, SellSide analysts and many members of the investment community. Certainly she can share some of the inside baseball that takes place, and share her insights.
We know she has it in her, and want to see her bring her A-game every day. But certainly a welcome addition to the show.
Grade: B
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Guy Adami
Adami is proof that once mere mortals were able to secure employment at Goldman Sachs. He has had a varied career on the Street, and occasionally we get flashes of it. Not brilliance, so much, but insight. We share many of Adami’s belief’s in trading, such as high-volume capitulations, but he needs to come up with more than the same old shtick.
Still, he is the best half Sicilian/half Italian contributor on the show. His stock picking has been reasonably decent, but not quite as spot on as his frequent pop culture references. Keeping the goofy humor in check and the show on-topic will be enough to bump his grade.
Grade: B minus
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Jeff Macke
Macke has been the biggest disappointment of the show. Macke’s father had a remarkable career with a Minneapolis retailer that morphed into Target Corp., and Macke had a front row seat. Something must have rubbed off on him. True, the retail sector has been out-of-favor since the show was created, but he has not done enough to educate viewers to industry trends. Knocking around in a Dick’s Sporting Goods after the stock’s strong showing is too little, too late.
Macke needs to spend more time in the stores, and share the insights he possesses. Additional store visits and retail CEO interviews would be nice too. Macke’s Mark-Up is a step in the right direction.
Still, Macke spent the week of the August lows telling investors to “sell until they can sleep”. He then recommended the DOG ETF over the next few weeks, which trades inversely to the Dow Jones Industrials. Wrong!
We won’t even get into Build A Bear, and hope he can do more than just argue off the top of his head. If he can’t get the job done perhaps CNBC can bring in the Talented Blonde, who has seems infinitely more plugged in to stories like CROCS and the teen retailers.
No props for Activision either Macke, big deal. Four points on a $18 stock.
If Macke’s appearances were designed to plug Minyanville it is Mission Accomplished. But he had better step up, as he is a hair away from double-secret probation.
High expectations are a bitch.
Grade C minus
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Dylan Ratigan
Dylan is the heart of the show, keeping things moving and setting the tone. The show is his baby, a financial version of SportsCenter for the street addicts. The Web.Extra and Web Cams were novel ideas, and he get an A for innovation.
Cocky and self-absorbed? He sure is, with no apologies and a trail of broken hearts behind him. Poor women. Ratigan is nothing if street smart, and learns on his feet. Perhaps someday he will get the talk show he desires. He is on Broadway, but shooting for Hollywood.
The straw that stir the drink.
Grade B plus
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Overall Grade
B minus
The show is evolving, but we miss Bolling and Strazzini. Carter Braxton Worth can’t fill those shoes.
What will Ailes schedule against the show at 5 p.m?...... Will he launch his own version of the show, perhaps a faster-paced half an hour version? And will Eric Bolling get his own show on Fox?
Soon, it will all be revealed. Maybe even on Wallstrevealed.com
With Ailes involved there will not be a dull moment.
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The content contained represent the opinions of 1440 Wall Street. This commentary in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. It is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author.
Comments:
Off-base and seemingly personal grade of Macke. He’s the only one for whom you mentioned any stock picks. Of those, two are higher and one, Build-a-Bear, hasn’t been mentioned at all for months until very recently; even then only as a better take-over idea than some other retailer.
I watch the show regularly. Macke was on Nintendo early, got me long Blue Nile in March then suggested taking profits at 100. He was pushing Dicks for months and a big gain before he “kicked around the store”. While we’re at it, “Wolf” picked Radio Shack at the beginning of the year then locked in most of the gains.
If you don’t like him as a character or person, fine, but you need to build a better case than cherry-picking one loser from a year ago and two winners before you put him on your half-assed “Double Secret Probation”.
Posted by on 10/23/2007 at 01:14 AM
He was eating Crow last nite over Netflix and went back to the well on the DOG. CNBC had him on for several days in the middle of August during the market swoon and he had nothing notable to say. They show is called ‘Fast Money” but he looked scared.
And he told people to sell. Maybe he recommended Amazon in the 20’s-Adami said to short it there. I just don’t think Macke brings much to show except his impressions of company’s when he used to actually work.
Triple Secret Probation now for screwing up Netflix.
Posted by on 10/23/2007 at 09:24 AM
The “Most popular contributor” on Fast Money was also bearish on NFLX. But I guess that didn’t make the cut in the Bolling interview section.
As for August, as I recall Macke told people to “sell until they can sleep” for about 1,000 dow points lower then said “everything changed for bears with the Fed move” when the Fed cut the discount window. I’m not sure how you read that, as a statement, but it seemed pretty rational, pretty useful and very much in real-time. He’s been bearish on WalMart (to the point of being a bore about it). He told people to sell Citi last week, with the stock more than 10% higher. He called yesterday’s bounce off 1490 on the S&P;to within about half a pt last Friday. And buying the DOG at today’s open seems to be working pretty well so far today.
None of which really matters. You can cherry-pick losers or winners for anyone on Fast Money or any other show to fit your agenda or preference. Personally, I’d rather have a guy who can stand-up and admit when he was wrong. It seems personally accountable, “StockJockey”. There are plenty of people on TV who can’t or won’t do that. You can stick with them.
I’m not Macke’s hugest fan but he’s helped me make money. I like his show and you’re obviously judging Macke by a different standard than you are using for the other FM traders.
This blog is on quintuple open probation for being tiresome.
Posted by on 10/23/2007 at 12:11 PM
I think these guys throw out too many recommendations each month to really hold them to any one call. I have not found Macke’s advice to be as valuable as you have. I call it as I see it, and if Bolling was terrible he would get called on the carpet.
Macke overrode Bolling’s pick of Apple vs Bershire Hathaway in the March Madness tourney, but it is unfair to single out this pick as it would be to criticize Bollings MPEL or “CROX is done” call. They all make mistakes and need to swing the bat, and then fess up if need be. They would have no credibility if they did not, and fastfire is a great concept.
Bolling has been off the show for two months, and I have no idea what he currently thinks about NFLX. The last show Bolling was on he was making a case for a market bottom based on the VIX, which was within a few days of the lows.
Eric also took on Cramer for the year, taking GLD and Energy vs. Cramer’s financial’s. Nuff said.
Fast Money Review.com’s poll shows Macke with the lowest popularity of the original cast. Maybe it is a beauty contest, but Bolling was at 51% vs Macke’s 8%. Guy is at 23% and Strazzini above Macke.
I would assume these people are being fairly objective, they are mostly traders I think.
I have no beef with Macke other than he has not met my expectations. As I said, the only good call on retail has been to avoid it, the sector is his wheelhouse and he has not had much to work with. Minyanville is calling him “retail Royalty” and his father had an amazing career at Target Corp. Perhaps someday Jeff could interview him about it-he surely has some great stories.
Sorry you find the blog tiresome. There are plenty of good sites to read, please don’t waste your time here if you find it unproductive.
I try to bring an open mind to each trading day, as I have seen biases blow people up countless times. No bias here, I will join the Macke’s Wolfpack if it is justified.
Good trading.
Posted by on 10/23/2007 at 01:08 PM
I have to admit that Macke has been my favorite panelist the past few months. He is pretty funny and making some decent calls, and getting to the heart of the matter. The show has found its sea legs in the wake of Bolling’s departure, and these traveling shows like the ones to the Silicon Valley, Miami and Chicago are terrific.
Macke B/B+
Posted by on 05/16/2008 at 06:30 PM
Macke may be the funniest of anyone on CNBC. After the Maria show that she hosts 17 weeks a year (a gains 10 pounds a year) Fast Money and Macke are a welcome relief.
Posted by on 06/09/2008 at 10:19 PM
Yeah he gets some zingers in, and the show is rolling along just fine, although the dog days of summer could prove challenging. The last year has been offered remarkable drama.
SJ
Posted by on 06/09/2008 at 11:44 PM
Macke should leave the show. Dylan is the best now. I miss Strazzini and Bolling too. Karen admits her mistakes readily. Pete and Macke never seem to lose money. I think Karen is the best trader for a hedger.
If anyone doesn’t do their own due diligence before taking a position - then they should never throw rocks at any Fast Money Trader.
Posted by on 10/22/2008 at 03:05 PM
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